Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.238478 0.324732 0.426190 0.552331 0.702928 0.875000 1.084461
2026-01-11 0.118105 0.212186 0.343240 0.529683 0.778633 1.090509 1.501255
2026-01-18 0.056968 0.141929 0.283961 0.513747 0.851837 1.307886 1.945327
2026-01-25 0.027794 0.100818 0.248223 0.516517 0.944831 1.557326 2.452683
2026-02-01 0.010920 0.066275 0.206279 0.494860 0.993701 1.746546 2.891705
2026-02-08 0.004945 0.051209 0.193949 0.518298 1.112498 2.043619 3.498552
2026-02-15 0.001594 0.036532 0.173558 0.519539 1.191930 2.285090 4.037633
2026-02-22 0.000620 0.030946 0.173733 0.561577 1.345167 2.649352 4.774005
2026-03-01 0.000139 0.024580 0.167203 0.586608 1.468914 2.972817 5.462435
2026-03-08 0.000005 0.017889 0.153888 0.591816 1.554634 3.237900 6.071598
2026-03-15 NaN 0.011792 0.136036 0.580121 1.604660 3.444706 6.597108
2026-03-22 NaN 0.008572 0.127776 0.590929 1.699446 3.730581 7.255332
2026-03-29 NaN 0.005663 0.116721 0.591804 1.775937 3.993033 7.893485
2026-04-05 NaN 0.003030 0.100214 0.570604 1.802565 4.169314 8.400360
2026-04-12 NaN 0.001520 0.087113 0.555099 1.838935 4.363849 8.943095
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000831 0.080235 0.558691 1.918548 4.640190 9.628880
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000273 0.067868 0.536116 1.933359 4.796405 10.118728
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000161 0.067236 0.561088 2.065380 5.178020 10.997914
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000049 0.061650 0.562490 2.138797 5.450750 11.699304
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000038 0.065195 0.606986 2.324649 5.945798 12.791193
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000016 0.064938 0.633453 2.466056 6.359189 13.751633
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000002 0.060684 0.638965 2.553509 6.670461 14.543162
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.053599 0.626621 2.592410 6.887415 15.176107